Election 2010

Election 2010: SF Results trickle in, sloowly

0

Slowly, the SF Department of elections is posting results, and a couple of things are clear: The District 2 race is getting very close, D10 is still anyone’s game, and Jane Kim has a sizable lead in D6.


Some things are over: I can say tht prop. B is going down, Prop. L (sit-lie) is going to win, the real-estate transfer tax is going to win — but the hotel tax is going down.  

Election 2010: Prop. 19 loses

4

Okay, I admit it: I thought Californians would come to their senses and vote in large numbers in favor of legalizing pot. And that’s how the polls looked — until Attorney General Eric Holder announced that he would continue to enforce federal law and bust Californians for marijuana offenses. At that point, the voters seemed to collectively sigh and say: Hell with it, if the feds are going to get us anyway, why bother? And that’s when the polls began to shift

The rest of the state props are a mixed bag — the proposal to get rid of the two-thirds vote on passing a budget went through, but so did the mandate that local fees get a two-thirds vote.

Election 2010: More good news on the state front

4

You can put this one in the bank: Brown is the next governor, Boxer remains a senator and Gavin Newsom is going to Sacramento, quite possibly on the coat tails of the man he at one point tried to challenge for the top job. And there’s more good news for Dems: Tom Torlakson looks solid for state superintendent of public instruction and Dave Jones is going to be the next insurance commissioner.


The only top Dem who isn’t faring well is Kamala Harris, who is lagging in her race against Steve Cooley for attorney general. This is a big one: Cooley wants to defend prop. 8.

Election 2010: The judicial race

0

After Michael Nava came in first in the June primary and looked as if he might oust sitting judge Rochard Ulmer, the local judiciary and much of the legal establishment came together and began raising a ton of money to try to crush this upstart. And it’s had an impact; in the early results, Nava is behind. But it’s going to be very close; by the end of the night, the 54-46 margin will get a lost closer. This one’s impossible to call.

Election 2010: Early SF results

1

The absentee votes are in, and it’s a very mixed bag. If trends hold, and the absentees represent the most conservative votes, Prop. B is going down — the result of a very successful labor campaign. Prop. L, the sit-lie law, is solidly ahead. The two hotel tax measures are both losing by about the same percentage, suggesting that the anti-tax group’s focus on just Prop. K, which liberals also opposed, was effective. But it’s still to early to call those.

In D2, Janet Reilly is well ahead. In D8, Scott Wiener is ahead of Rafael mandelman 54-22; that’s going to be hard to make up, even though Mandelman had a strong GOTV drive today.

D6 and D10 are still way up in the air. Jane Kim is ahead in D6, and Marlene Tran — the only Asian in the race, is winning in D10, a testament to the fact that 10 is becoming an increasingly Asian district. But neither of those two will be over tonight, and will come down to ranked-choice voting. 

Election 2010: Newsom in, Harris trailing

0

That’s based on very early results. But with Boxer’s numbers creeping up, and Newsom comfortably ahead, it looks as if San Francisco will be getting a new mayor in January. The very early results have Harris pretty far behind, but those numbers will change. Since the early returns are always conservative, thought, the news for Gav is very good.

Election 2010: Boxer should be okay

0

The earliest results — which would be absentees from conservative areas — have Fiorina slightly ahead, but if typical trends hold, Boxer will be fine. So the question is: If voters support the two Dems at the top of the ticket, what happens to the downticket races? Are there coattails?

Election 2010: Well, there goes $160 million

1

CNN, using exit polls, just called the governor’s race for Jerry Brown. Meg Whitman spend $160 million and is getting trounced. Think of what else that money could have gone for.